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The
"Ultimate Design Goal" May Never Be Realized
Advanced packaging will be affected by three areas
of consideration.
Business: In the next century communication
will remain the application. The volume and speed of business transactions
(and forms of communications) will continue to expand exponentially,
supported by cost reductions, to improve overall ease of use and
total number of connected devices.
Environmental issues: The demand for greener
products will be supported by new technologies, allowing us to continue
the pursuit of our environmental goals.
Speed: Time-to-market will evolve into a concept
that we may not be able to understand today. Accelerating technologies
will enable products to be developed and released so quickly that
release rates may exceed people's abilities to integrate them.
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Micro-revisions of products will be available
at all times, allowing consumers to buy-in to a new revision
nearly every day. The "ultimate design goal" may never be
realized as the product evolves in constantly changing directions.
The time between a product introduction and
the market's adoption will be greatly shortened. The total
demand for any product might be much lower, since the next
version, or totally different replacement, will be available
very quickly. Package design criteria will have to adjust.
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Technology: It will be materials versus processes
that revolutionize packaging in the next century. New materials
are necessary to address the demand for miniaturization. New processes
are necessary to address the demand for "greener" products.
Today we have the recyclable automobile. Tomorrow
we will have the water-soluble wrist PC.
The relentless demand for speed and miniaturization
will require us to master optical interconnects, micro-machines
and build-up technologies within our electronic devices. Miniaturization
will allow us to create implantable devices that function within,
versus on, our bodies. These devices could take the form of "machines"
that perform a simple function, as well as "bioelectronic" units
which become a part of our body.
We will see accelerated technology convergence, for
example of computers (massive data analysis), with novel and powerful
devices (such as micro- machines), with seemingly unrelated discoveries
(such as the Human Genome project), which creates opportunities
to profoundly change not only what we can do, but even the reasons
why we do it.
Chip-Scale/Advanced Packaging. I believe that
two factors will influence the evolution of advanced packaging.
first is packaging technology itself, and second is what we demand
from our packages. These factors will drive each other.
For example, a device implanted into a person's vascular
system will be required to function while exposed to blood.
All the traditional product drivers: Size, speed
and cost will continue to rule the day well into the next century.ÑGreg
Evans, President, Indium Corp. of America
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Indium Corporation of America, Clinton, N.Y.,
is a developer, manufacturer and supplier of electronic assembly
materials, including solder pastes, fluxes, spheres, preforms
and electrically-conductive adhesives. Founded in 1934, ICA
also maintains regional operations in the Americas, Europe
and Asia.[indium.com]
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