| An Expert
Looks at the Issues |
Dr.
Guna Selvaduray on Lead-Free Manufacturing
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Dr. Selvaduray is a Professor in the College of Engineering
at San Jose State University. His fields of interest include
chemical thermodynamics, microelectronics interconnect and
encapsulation, design for the environment and materials characterization.
A native of Malaysia, he earned a bachelor's
degree in mechanical engineering from the Tokyo Institute
of Technology, a master's degree in materials science and
engineering from Stanford University, and a doctorate in metallurgy
from Stanford.
He speaks five languages, including German
and Japanese, and has lived and worked in several countries.
In 1997, he was awarded the Excellence in Scholarship Award
by SJSU's College of Engineering.
For the past year, he has also served
on the Chip Scale Review Editorial Advisory Board and has
helped guide the publication to a leading position in IC packaging
journals. Readers may contact him at gunas@email.sjsu.edu
or by phone at 408.924.3874.
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Dr.
Guna Selvaduray
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Europe usually
trails the U.S. in electronics. What accounts for its lead in the
"no-lead" movement?
The U.S. has tended to lag behind Europe in several areas
related to conservation and preservation of the environment. While
the U.S. has argued that environmental preservation hurts the economy,
Europe has been more serious about environmental protection and
preservation. In the area of recycling of plastics and materials
from automobiles, for example, Europe has also been taking the lead.
This is perhaps due to increased awareness among
Europeans that we cannot afford to continue polluting the earth
without our descendents paying severe penalties. Additionally, Europeans
have much higher population densities, with less land available
for permanent disposal and storage of materials that are harmful
to the environment.
Another factor may be the lack of industry lobbyists
in Europe. In the U.S., legislation is frequently affected by industry
lobbyists in Washington, D.C.
Where will
the best no-lead solder originate?
Currently, it looks like the most frequently used no-lead
solder will originate in Japan. The Japanese have take the most
aggressive attitude toward implementing lead-free solders and have
really accelerated the timetable.
Once a lead-free solder begins to be employed,
superior or not, the electronics industry is likely to be reluctant
to make any changes. The behavioral pattern of the industry, thus
far, shows that there will be no real effort to carry out a complete
and thorough investigation to establish-in an unbiased manner-whether
there is one superior no-lead solder or several application-specific
no-lead solders.
How quickly
can U.S. firms implement lead-free requirements?
The primary question is not "how soon," but rather "how
soon can lead-free manufacturing be implemented reliably?" Given
that a number of non-U.S. companies are now implementing lead-free
assembly conditions, U.S. companies also ought to be able to do
the same.
Based on my current understanding of international
trends, U.S. companies need to be able to implement lead-free conditions
within a year or so. If they can do so on a pilot scale within the
next six months, that would be even better.
Are lead-free
solder alternatives going to be a "realtime" test of their abilities
in the semiconductor industry?
The lead-free alternatives currently being proposed are
not "tried and true," and it looks like their use will be a realtime
test.
While the opportunity to go about employing
lead-free alternatives in a systematic manner still exists, I do
not see people doing this; many people seem to be waiting for somebody
else to develop the solutions so that they can then implement them.
This "wait-and-see" attitude is going to result in a lot of companies
ending up doing realtime testing of alternative solders.
Will the
elimination of lead-free materials, such as solder, result in higher
prices?
I do not think the elimination of lead will result in price increases.
The adoption of past initiatives-such as the elimination of ozone-depleting
chemicals-has not resulted in price increases. If price increases,
as a result of the adoption of lead-free alternatives do take place,
this will be due to the lack of a proper development program with
the resulting reduction in reliability.
What industry
segments are likely to be most concerned about making their equipment
run lead-free?
An obvious segment is the group that makes reflow equipment. However,
besides equipment, there are a large number of other materials issues
that need to be "solved." These issues pertain to all of the other
polymeric materials that are employed in assembly and interconnect,
and specifically relate to their ability to withstand higher reflow
temperatures without degradation.
Many industry
organizations have sponsored "lead-free" conferences and proposals,
but none seem to have a complete program. Is an industry-wide initiative
going to have to wait for government to step in?
The issues and problems related to lead-free solders is
symptomatic of what has been happening with electronic materials
thus far. While the industry has moved far ahead in the assembly
process, these advances have been made with little or no investment
in performing the basic research necessary to understand the materials
used and the mechanisms at work.
For example, there is no data on diffusivities
of atomic species in the 100-300oC range-at least not
in the open literature. I do not think that waiting for the government
to legislate lead-free materials and processing will be a very wise
thing to do.
The semiconductor assembly and interconnect
industries must realize that they need to invest in basic research
to maintain their technological lead as the 21st century progresses.
If we don't watch out, the U.S. will become
a country that is forced to follow a path defined by others-which
is exactly the case with lead-free solders.
Can we be
confident in the reliability of new, lead-free solders?
There is no reason to assume that the new lead-free solders
will not perform reliably. Pb-Sn solders have demonstrated their
share of reliability problems. The fundamental issue is not whether
the new lead-free solders are inherently reliable or not, but rather,
whether we know and understand how to use these solders so that
we are able to design IC packages appropriately.
If a package is designed so that the solder
is stressed beyond its UTS, then it is bound to begin failing. This,
however, is a design issue and not a materials issue.
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